Silver is responding to what now looks like a foolish prediction by Neil Ferguson. Tetlock knows what he's talking about regarding making predictions, his book, Superforecasters, is really good. Oh man, this makes me wonder what the average number of legs is. I always liked the joke about the average being less than one, but uhhh, depending on the definition…
Favorites July 28 2021
Favorites July 28 2021
Favorites July 28 2021
Silver is responding to what now looks like a foolish prediction by Neil Ferguson. Tetlock knows what he's talking about regarding making predictions, his book, Superforecasters, is really good. Oh man, this makes me wonder what the average number of legs is. I always liked the joke about the average being less than one, but uhhh, depending on the definition…