Favorites March 16th 2023

Slow Takeoff, Permitting Reform, and a Tik Tok Ban.

İstanbul, August 2019

Beff Jezos — e/acc @BasedBeffJezos

GPT's are distilled from data farmed from human neural nets. No reason for it to not hit a sigmoid-like improvement schedule as it approaches the level of the source rather than exponential improvement as feared by doomers.

rohit @krishnanrohit

This might be heresy, but the delta from GPT2 to GPT3 seems much wider than GPT3 to GPT4. It's getting more usable, but I'm not sure if the exponential improvement in capability hypothesis holds true any longer.

To translate, we want to know what the 'shape' of the curve of AI intelligence improvement over time is, because if it becomes exponential it's more likely to lead to scary outcomes than if it jumps up and then slows down again. We want 'Slow Takeoff' not 'Fast Takeoff'

Alec Stapp @AlecStapp

Still in the early stages, but it’s very promising to see the emergence of bipartisan leaders in Congress on permitting reform. Might be the best shot we have at productive legislating this cycle…

I really hope this is successful, but as the article states, it's somewhat of a long-shot. Relatedly, NEPA is being used to push for continuing construction of Trump's border wall. absolutely ridiculous.

𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙘𝙠 𝙅𝙖𝙘𝙦𝙪𝙚𝙨 𝘿𝙚𝙢𝙮 @EmmaTolkin

Mark Strong is Stanley Tucci’s Wario

Threads

• Short thread about how public opinion about Nuclear Power has gotten more positive recently

• Long thread about how the Biden admin could pursue a Tik Tok ban, which seems to be back on the table now.