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Favorites December 9th 2022
The learning curve is the concept that as we make more of something, we often get better at making it, and the product gets cheaper. This chart is really useful in understanding why some energy tech has gotten cheaper as we've made more, and some hasn't. Here's a thread summarizing more details from the source paper. I really like this top grid though, one person commented "A handy 3x3 matrix that pretty much determines the future of the world for the next 30 years."
Matthew Zeitlin summarizes Sinema's strategy "High variance move". The key here is that she's no more popular with Democrats than Republicans, she may not actually be able to convincingly threaten to split the democratic vote in a general election. The fact is, she's just very unpopular with everyone.
This doesn't even get into the problems with ChatGPT essentially hallucinating answers to questions. I honestly hadn't considered how expensive it must be to run these Transformer text models.
This is from an IMF report. Again this makes me think we should do everything in our power to have an Operation Warp Speed for the common cold / flu using these new mRNA vaccines.
• Thread discussing the possibility of Russia's periferal states seceding. TL;DR: if it is going to happen, it's going to have to be one of the richer regions, and it would probably be quite slow.