![NHC Eastern Pacific @NHC_Pacific 8am PDT Fri Aug 18 Key Messages for Hurricane #Hilary: There is the potential for rare and dangerous flooding impacts from heavy rainfall across portions of the Southwestern U.S. this weekend. http://hurricanes.gov 1. Heavy rainfall associated with Hilary could produce areas of flash flooding and result in landslides over portions of the Baja California Peninsula late tonight through late Sunday. Rainfall impacts from Hilary within the Southwestern United States are expected to peak this weekend into Monday. Flash, urban, and arroyo flooding is expected, with the potential for rare and dangerous impacts. 2. Hurricane conditions are expected within portions of the hurricane warning area along the west-central coast of the Baja California Peninsula on Sunday and are possible in the Hurricane Watch area. 3. Tropical storm conditions are possible on Sunday in portions of southern California where a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued. 4. Large swells from Hilary will spread northward along the coast of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula. These swells will reach the Gulf of California and northern portions of the Baja California Peninsula later this weekend. NHC Eastern Pacific @NHC_Pacific 8am PDT Fri Aug 18 Key Messages for Hurricane #Hilary: There is the potential for rare and dangerous flooding impacts from heavy rainfall across portions of the Southwestern U.S. this weekend. http://hurricanes.gov 1. Heavy rainfall associated with Hilary could produce areas of flash flooding and result in landslides over portions of the Baja California Peninsula late tonight through late Sunday. Rainfall impacts from Hilary within the Southwestern United States are expected to peak this weekend into Monday. Flash, urban, and arroyo flooding is expected, with the potential for rare and dangerous impacts. 2. Hurricane conditions are expected within portions of the hurricane warning area along the west-central coast of the Baja California Peninsula on Sunday and are possible in the Hurricane Watch area. 3. Tropical storm conditions are possible on Sunday in portions of southern California where a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued. 4. Large swells from Hilary will spread northward along the coast of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula. These swells will reach the Gulf of California and northern portions of the Baja California Peninsula later this weekend.](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad23b226-a0f0-4ba3-9b02-506b50b60bae_1154x1182.png)
This is the first of this kind of Storm Watch alert ever for the west coast, and only the third time this sort of storm has made landfall in CA since the mid 1800s. Looks like it won't reach all the way to the bay area though.
![hypercritical.social's profile picture hypercritical.social 12h The Plumber Problem: hypercritical.co/2023… hypercritical.social's profile picture hypercritical.social 12h The Plumber Problem: hypercritical.co/2023…](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec240843-942d-4553-84f6-e266a6059c88_1054x714.png)
Siracusa describes the phenomenon where something is unrealistic in a movie, but only an expert would realize, everyone else is blissfully unaware. Has some amusing examples.
![See new Tweets Conversation Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias · 13h Four states below 2 percent unemployment — when does the great migration to South Dakota start? Michael Bradley 🍌 @MikeBradleyMKE Sioux Falls is permitted more housing last year than the bay area. See new Tweets Conversation Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias · 13h Four states below 2 percent unemployment — when does the great migration to South Dakota start? Michael Bradley 🍌 @MikeBradleyMKE Sioux Falls is permitted more housing last year than the bay area.](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6590f22c-a7b7-45ca-beb5-962206b62761_1164x984.png)
For reference, Seattle has a population of under 800k, compared to 2.2 million for the big three bay area cities
Flotsam and Jetsam
– A fire engine appears to have T-Boned a Cruise AV. (src)
– How to describe georgism to leftists (src)
– YIMBY vs Reagan Trickle down, one is correct the other is not correct (src)
– US GDP Growth now higher than China's (src)
– Recommendations for how to improve NSF / NIH research funding (src)
– Some Federalist Society lawyers have written a paper arguing that Trump is already ineligible for the Presidency. (src)
– Pro Communist intellectuals in the 1930s were aware of the horrors of the soviet system (src)
– The video of Trump's co-conspirator trying to intimidate someone into falsely confessing to election fraud is yikes. (src)
– Check out what happened to SAT scores when they removed the penalty for guessing (src)
– SFPD seems to have stopped enforcing red light violations, seems bad. (src)
– If FDR had lived another year, we might have avoided the Vietnam war. (src)
– Apparently Hudson Yards in NYC has it's own heat / power system separate from the rest of the city. (src)
– 2028 Los Angeles will be 100% car free. Everyone using public transit to get to events. (src)
– Disneyland keeps a database of all light bulbs, replaces them before they go out. (src)