![Twitter avatar for @WarintheFuture](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/WarintheFuture.jpg)
15/24 Finally, the Ukrainians have adapted in the info environment. Not only did they seize the initiative at the start of the war, they have learned and evolved in a tactical, operational and strategic influence fight against Russian misinformation. (Image - @IAPonomarenko)
![Image](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_600,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.substack.com%2Fmedia%2FFNm10JxUcAI6lvm.jpg)
![Twitter avatar for @lxeagle17](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/lxeagle17.jpg)
One of the interesting things we've been looking at is quantifying how candidate strength translates across cycles.
When I take the 2018 and 2020 WAR models we built for @Ticket1Split and predict 2020 overperformance based on 2018 overperformance, there is a strong correlation!
![Image](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_600,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.substack.com%2Fmedia%2FFNnuP1xVUAQEKFp.jpg)
![Twitter avatar for @ryanlcooper](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/ryanlcooper.jpg)
I got dragged on here for an entire day when I mentioned doing anti-smoking stuff 20 years ago. real fuckin pathetic
![Twitter avatar for @notkavi](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_40/notkavi.jpg)
i thank you phone for today π π± @notkavi
![Twitter avatar for @aceckhouse](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/aceckhouse.jpg)
god forbid we sully the architectural purity of San Francisco
![Twitter avatar for @everylotsf](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_40/everylotsf.jpg)
every lot sf @everylotsf
![Twitter avatar for @mattyglesias](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/mattyglesias.jpg)
This is meant to be a hypocrisy shot but there are 28 million households in the UK, if 9 percent of them took in one Ukrainian refugee each that would be 2.5 million Ukrainians β a very large number!
![Twitter avatar for @GoodwinMJ](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_40/GoodwinMJ.jpg)
Matt Goodwin @GoodwinMJ
![Twitter avatar for @mattyglesias](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/mattyglesias.jpg)
The limiting factor on refugee admission is not a scarcity of individual households willing to host one, but the reluctance of democratic publics to allow for large numbers to come in.
If most Britons want, as a matter of policy, more refugee admittances that's a big deal.
![Twitter avatar for @Noahpinion](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_96/Noahpinion.jpg)
Interesting hypothesis
![Twitter avatar for @kamilkazani](https://substackcdn.com/image/twitter_name/w_40/kamilkazani.jpg)
Kamil Galeev @kamilkazani