Favorite Rejects 2021-12-19
Omicron raises an urgent math problem for epi world & – Solve for X: For vaxxed person w/ Omicron, "X"=minimum # of days of isolation that optimizes limiting spread & keeping economy going, assuming rapid test is neg on days X-1 & X. (Hint: I doubt it's 7-10; my guess ~5)
What the heck is this, Google? An alert to let me know when to watch The Sound of Music on TV? I live in the future, bud. I can watch the sound of music whenever I want. This is like an alert from an alternate universe where Google existed in the 1960s
My $1.75 T plan: Full CTC with permanent TCJA provisions (per JFI): $535 billion Full climate plan: $550 billion Medicaid gap fix: $180 billion Long term care: $200 billion Spend the remaining $285 billion on whatever combo on childcare/SALT/deficit reduction gets it passed
It's almost as though we might have learned something from what all the South African epidemiologists and doctors were telling us three weeks ago!
Actually, more recent data from Denmark looks more encouraging. Based on a far larger sample size, Omicron hospitalisations are at ~0.6% vs. ~1.5% for Delta (~60% down). (Thanks @RufusSG for spotting the report) 8/ https://t.co/ALkZLAXDvv https://t.co/zKJfTohuT2
Prof Francois Balloux @BallouxFrancois
Smart poor kids; No, thanks 🤮 Dumb rich kids: Yes, please 😍
Sergey Egiev @SEgiev
Maybe even more hopeful than the win by a leftist candidate is that the far right candidate (who has said nice things about Bolsonaro and Trump) actually accepted the electoral outcome and congratulated the winner...on Twitter!
@marietteleroux #UPDATE The streets of Santiago exploded in celebration after far-right lawyer Jose Antonio Kast conceded a polarized presidential election to his leftist rival Gabriel Boric, congratulating the new "president-elect" on Twitter https://t.co/eekDvhI40k by @marietteleroux https://t.co/oWFS85zgZp
AFP News Agency @AFP
In China, the real estate carnage continues
Kaisa Group shares plunged in the first day of trading in almost two weeks, while a key Evergrande backer failed in its bid to go private. Here's the latest news on Chinese property developers https://t.co/HlThYmVMGo
Bloomberg Next China @next_china
The single best policy for another American Century is to roll out the red carpet for 100 million of the most talented immigrants in the world. Talent is evenly distributed; it is one of the great own goals of all time that so much of it wants to be the US and we say no.
Maybe a NYC thing but I know a lot of folks who got COVID in spring 2020... That aside, part of the adjustment IMO is that the vaccines were *so* effective at first that people were able to delay confronting the fact that COVID was a risk they had to manage like any other.
My hot take is that the panic and drama are coming from a professional class that (after March 2020) were pretty safe from contracting Covid and are reacting to people in their network getting sick. The risk has increased, but for this class it’s *really* increased. https://t.co/lM0xV7YdjL
Daniel W. Drezner @dandrezner
Any econ folks want to take a stab at reconciling these two?
US Retail Sales hit another all-time high while Consumer Sentiment is at its lowest level in 10 years. Watch what they do, not what they say. https://t.co/x2Md4zFAj0
Charlie Bilello @charliebilello